You can't handle the truth!

"You can't handle the truth!"

Colonel Nathan R Jessep (Jack Nicholson)

"A Few Good Men" (1992)

Greetings

Here'[s the latest from Kevin Anderson.  

"I continue to hold to the view that an outside chance of meeting international commitments around 2°C still exists – albeit reducing daily as we and our leaders continue to favour apathy over action.

"It is in communicating this eroding thread of hope, that I depart from John Gummer and others who argue that “the public” needs to be coaxed into action with optimistic tales of win-win, green growth and rosy futures. Personally, I don’t think it either effective or appropriate that we appoint ourselves paternal arbiters, censoring what is and isn’t fit for public consumption; all too Orwellian!"

Here is Anderson's presentation

He notes that governments are continuing to soft pedal what it will take to deal with climate change,   Like:

“To keep … global average temperature rise close to 2°C … the UK [must] cut emissions by at least 80% ... the good news is that reductions of that size are possible without sacrificing the benefits of economic growth and rising prosperity.”

See also Friday's NYT:

Later, at the Getty home, the president said the political debate needs to “break out of this notion that somehow there’s a contradiction between us being good stewards of the environment and us growing this economy.”

“They are not a contradiction,” he said. “We can grow this economy fast and faster if we are seizing the opportunities of the future and not just looking at the energy sources of the past.”

  

This is probably total BS.  What are the non-rosy facts?

“… it is difficult to envisage anything other than a planned economic recession being compatible with stabilisation at or below 650ppmv CO2e” [i.e. ~4°C]

Anderson & Bows 2008/11

Given that this "planned economic recession" needs to begin ASAP, I wonder when we will be told. 

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Mar 2013. Presentation at Joseph Rowntree Foundation event on climate and fairness

Building on two recent JRF funded reports “Distribution of Carbon Emissions in the UK”; and, “Designing Carbon Taxation to Protect Low-income Households”, the event included papers and discussions from a wide range of participants – with the Guardian’s Fiona Harvey, as chair, using her knowledge of climate change to probe presenters and discussants.

A clash of views with John Gummer (chair of the Committee on Climate Change)
I was asked to present on the framing of climate targets and how they linked to issues of fairness; John Gummer then responded, laying out his concerns around communicating climate change. He opened with an impassioned attack of the value of my contribution – arguing that we need to engender a much more optimistic view of the challenges if we are to “win a sufficient constituency” to bring about meaningful change. This was a criticism I hear repeatedly – and one I continue to ponder – but for now at least, I remain unconvinced that it is my job to spin a cheery yarn – the numbers just don’t support such tenuous optimism. Nevertheless, I continue to hold to the view that an outside chance of meeting international commitments around 2°C still exists – albeit reducing daily as we and our leaders continue to favour apathy over action.

It is in communicating this eroding thread of hope, that I depart from John Gummer and others who argue that “the public” needs to be coaxed into action with optimistic tales of win-win, green growth and rosy futures. Personally, I don’t think it either effective or appropriate that we appoint ourselves paternal arbiters, censoring what is and isn’t fit for public consumption; all too Orwellian!

So I will continue to translate my and colleagues analysis into a clear and direct language that reflects accurately the framing and conclusions of our research. And undoubtedly we will continue to be dismissed as politically naïve, unengaged with the “real world”, scaring audiences, and sharing findings with a public ill-equipped to grasp the repercussions (or so I am advised by a self-appointed group who are apparently well equipped!).

Finally, John Gummer asserted that imperialism was dead and that we need to wake up to the new and market–dominated framing of world issues. I am unconvinced by this argument. In contrast, I see imperialism thriving – with the new and much more invidious ‘Church of Mammon’ fossil-fuelling the crusade. Until we acknowledge this dogmatic Zeitgeist along with the scale of the challenge we face, our blinkers will remain firmly in place and we’ll fail to conceive of an alternative low-carbon and climate-resilient future.